In the Report on Ecological Threats-2023, released by the Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP), it was revealed that at least 1,8 billion people live in countries seriously threatened by the climate crisis. This number is predicted to increase to 2,8 billion by 2050, which will result in an increase in conflicts, especially in sub-Saharan Africa.

The report analyzes the relationship between the effects of climate change, uncontrolled population growth, food insecurity and the outbreak of conflicts.

“The climate crisis and violence are strongly linked.”

Said Serge Stroobants, director of the IEP for Europe and the Middle East, responsible for the report, warning that the current escalation of global war is creating greater global insecurity.

According to the study, of the 221 countries analyzed, 66 face at least one serious ecological threat, the majority of which are located in sub-Saharan Africa. The four countries most at risk of the climate crisis are Ethiopia, Niger, Somalia and South Sudan.

“Climate change is generating conflicts in places like the Horn of Africa.”

“Competition for natural resources causes disputes and leads young people to leave their jobs and join militias.”

Said Nazanine Moshiri, Climate and Conflict analyst at the International Crisis Group.

The inability of many countries to deal with natural disasters has increased the need for financing for disaster relief. The Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF) has allocated 35% of its budget to disaster relief in 2022, compared to 17% a decade ago.

“More than 40% of the world's land area is expected to experience population growth of more than 20% by 2050, half of which will be in countries with very low levels of peace,” the report warns.

The report also warns of increasing population pressure, with rapid population growth compromising access to basic resources and resistance to natural disasters, especially in areas that are already vulnerable and with low levels of peace.

“Without concerted international action, current levels of ecological degradation will worsen substantially.”

Stroobants stated that he also warned of the fact that when As social problems such as malnutrition and forced migration intensify, the risk of conflict becomes much more evident.

It is essential that measures are taken to address the climate crisis and prevent an increase in conflicts. Actions such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions, investing in renewable energy and promoting sustainability are essential to guarantee a safer and more peaceful future for everyone.