The World can enter a circle of destruction.
The world risks entering a “vicious circle of destruction” climatic. This is what the report says1.5C- Dead or alive? — The risks to transformational change that come from achieving or failing the Paris Agreement objective” by EPA/LINDSEY PARNABY.
This report argues that dealing only with the growing impacts of the climate crisis can draw resources away from efforts to reduce carbon emissions, making the situation even worse.
what awaits us
The damage caused by global warming around the world is increasingly clear, and climate disaster recovery is already costing billions of dollars. Furthermore, these disasters can cause cascading problems, including water, food and energy crises, as well as increased migration and conflict, all of which drain countries' resources.
The researchers, from the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) and Chatham House, said that a current example of the impact of the climate crisis, complicating efforts to reduce emissions and other actions, was the debate over whether to keep the An increase in global temperature below 1,5°C – the international target of the Paris agreement – would still be possible.
Those who argue that 1,5C is still possible run the risk of perpetuating the complacency that the current slow pace is sufficient, the researchers said, while those who argue that it is not risk supporting the fatalism that little or no nothing can already be done or resort to “extreme approaches” such as geoengineering.
Avoiding a catastrophic cycle in the world requires a more honest acceptance by policymakers of the great risks posed by the climate crisis, researchers said, including the imminent prospect of tipping points and the enormous scale of economic and social transformation needed to end with global warming.
"We have entered, unfortunately, a new chapter of the climate and ecological crisis".
“The war against falsehoods is ending and the real consequences will present us with difficult decisions”.
"We can move towards a more sustainable, more equitable world, but our ability to navigate disasters while staying focused during the storm is critical."
said Laurie Laybourn, IPPR research associate and one of the report's authors.
The report
According to the report:
"This is a cycle of destruction: the aftermath of the [climate] crisis attracts focus and resources to combat its causes."
"This leads to an increase in temperature and ecological losses which then create more serious consequences, diverting even more attention and resources and so on."
The report stresses, for example, that Africa's economy is already losing, up to 15% of GDP a year, due to the worsening effects of global warming, cutting funds needed for climate action and emphasizing the need for support from developed countries. , which emit more carbon dioxide.
“What worries me most is that we are not taking into account the ripple effect for societies”.
“It's not just the storms that destroy large cities that we should be concerned about, it's the consequences for globalized systems,” said Laybourn.
According to Laybourn, the narratives used to describe the situation in the World are very important.
For example: greener transport is not simply a switch to electric vehicles, but a better public transport system and redesigned cities, which would mean people would be closer to jobs, education and health.
This, in turn, would mean reassessing local authority budgets and taxes to implement change.
The injustice of climate policy can lead to the “cycle of doom”, because if people feel that they are trying to impose unaffordable changes on them, they will reject the need for a green transition.
The report calls for even more attention to the emergency policies that will become increasingly global in the case of the climate crisis – a bit like the response to COVID-19. For example, like when you talk about the idea of getting the most developed countries – which also have higher carbon emissions – to help communities affected by the increase in temperature.
According to Bob Ward of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change at the London School of Economics:
"This report rightly highlights the tipping point we have reached, namely the growing probability that the world's global temperature will rise by more than 1,5°C."
"Our main objective must still be to make radical cuts in emissions to try to avoid exceeding 1,5°C."
"But it warns us that we should also consider what happens if we continue to fail."
"That will mean reducing temperatures and we will have to invest in extreme geoengineering options, such as removing carbon dioxide and even managing solar radiation."
“Which means we will have to spend much more to deal with the [climate] damage and that will make it more difficult to make the transition to a sustainable, inclusive and resilient world.”
Conclusion
Global emissions in the world reached their highest point in 2022. Climate policies are still predominantly focused on gradual sector-by-sector change, which has already proved to be inadequate
Rising temperatures and climate disasters can create food shortages or promote migration – with the potential to exacerbate feelings of hostility towards climate refugees.
This is why we need to improve the analyzes that drive policy and better communicate these complex issues if we are to survive as a species rather than continuing down the path to extinction.
What do you think of this report? Is the world really doomed? We want to know your opinion, do not hesitate to comment and if you liked the article, share and give a “like/like”.
See also:
Climate: Have we passed the point of no return?
Giraffes and parrots among the endangered species
“Green Imperative Nigeria” the project that can save the world
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